Prime Minister Boris Johnson is to set out his plan to bring England out of lockdown, with the roadmap being made public from the week of February 22.
Mr Johnson says he hopes to start schools reopening from March 8, and there are reports shops and pubs could begin opening a month after that.
But the Government has repeatedly said lifting lockdown will be a ‘cautious’, ‘careful’ and ‘gradual process.
And it has said the data on coronavirus will be constantly monitored before any final decisions are made.
The Mirror has rounded up the six key statistics that will determine when lockdown can be lifted in England.
The latest Office for National Statistics (ONS) figures estimate that one in 80 people had the virus in the week ending February 6.
In early January the UK figure was thought to be one in 50, with hotspots such as London as high as one in 30.
But it still equates to around 750,000 infected people at one time.
The Department of Health says there has been a week-on-week fall of 27 per cent in people testing positive.
Yesterday 13,308 cases were confirmed – a drop from the highs of early January, when the daily figure topped 60,000, but still alarmingly high.
Previously the Government has set travel rules for people arriving from different rules based on a threshold of 20 per 100,000.
For the UK to reach this level, the weekly number of new cases would need to plummet to one-seventh of its current level, with around 2,000 cases a day.
According to projections, the infection rate in the UK should be the same on March 8 as it was in June – when the lifting of lockdown one was announced.
The R number
Latest R number data suggests the R number is still below one (Image: Mirror Online)
This indicates whether the virus is growing or contracting.
Latest estimates put the figure between 0.7 and 0.9 in England – meaning that for every 10 infected people, a further seven to nine will pick up the virus.
If the R number is above one, it means the number of cases is growing.
It is thought scientists will push for it to be as close to 0.4 as possible.
Hospital admissions have reduced by 60% since January and there has been a 50% decrease of people in hospital with the virus.
The Government says there are 23,341 people in hospital with Covid in the UK at present, down from a peak at the start of January when more than 4,500 people were being admitted each day.
In June, when the lifting of the first lockdown was announced, there were just over 300 people a day being admitted with Covid.
There are now still more than 1,800 people a day being admitted.
15million people have now had at least a first dose, and another 2.4million will be invited to get the vaccine this week.,
The Government says 99 per cent of those most likely to die if they contract Covid will have had a first dose by the end of April.
There are reports all adults could have been offered a first dose by some point in the summer.
The Government has not published a target for how many need to be vaccinated for lockdown to lift.
In Spain it is 70 per cent of the population. In Israel it is 90 per cent of the most vulnerable.
Variants containing the E484K mutation – which may evade existing vaccines – account for around one per cent of Covid cases.
The E484K mutation helps the virus spread more easily and defeat the vaccine to an extent.
That is why the Government is bringing in tough quarantine rules from Monday and is rolling out mass surge testing in areas when mutant cases have been found.
The Government will be keen to keep the percentage of cases linked to mutant strains as low as possible.
New strains have been detected in areas including Bristol, Kent, Hampshire, Liverpool and Middlesborough.
The World Health Organisations recommends restrictions should stay in place until the rate of Covid tests coming back positive drops to five per cent or lower for two weeks.
In England the positivity rate is about 7.2per cent – but that has dropped from 18.1per cent at the start of January.
The rate varies across the country, with Birmingham seeing a positivity rate of 10.6 per cent and Oxfordshire seeing 5.2 per cent.
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